The seventh part of the Series “Current temptation, future frustration“. This series is based on the companies which are currently darling of the market and many trying to catch such opportunities but it has a probability to become a reason for future frustration. It can wipe out the majority of gains in wealth. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we can identify ongoing issues in the companies and can save our wealth.
I am starting this article with one of the company which is engaged in the textile business has a 52 weeks low price of Rs.11.6 and LTP is Rs.38.8, the 52-week high price of Rs.47.8. This company has rewarded ~4.12x of return in a year.
Let’s start looking at the numbers.
We can see that the company has a high volatile OP Margin% and also having losses at a net level in few years.
When we look at the balance sheet then it seems that the company has an issue with higher debt and continues dilution of capital. We can see that though the company has diluted capital, the solvency ratio has worsened.
We can see that the company has huge related party transactions. Also, the major deposit given to the related parties.
Also, we can see that the company has negative CFO and FCF in the last three years which indicates that profits are not getting converted into cash profit.
Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation.
Why we seek job security over freedom? Because we taught in such a way at school as well as at home. Our mindset has to get developed in a similar way where we seek security first. So, E & S quadrant people are motivated by security whereas B & I quadrant people are motivated by freedom.
Similar to the debt trap, there is a very interesting success trap. When B quadrant person gets success, they expand their system, then hire new talent, they work hard. B quadrant person also invests and when it meets succeed, they reinvest it. So that as time passes, they attract more success and which results in the freedom of time. They have time for family, for their hobby, etc.
Financial intelligence does not mean by how much money we make but it’s how much money we keep and that work for us. Also, money keeps working for how many of our generations.
Rather than this, what middle-class people do it. They work hard for a paycheck then they make a plan to save tax, take a home loan to write off interest to save tax. So, they again work hard to pay bills. When people get a job with a high paycheck and benefits, they work hard more to pay bills and increase more liabilities which increases more bills. They jump from one job to other to get a higher amount of paycheck with job security.
S quadrant is the riskiest and needed huge efforts. As they have to do it by themselves so for achieving success and keeping it, they have to work harder.
Many of the E quadrant people start a business by deploying their lifelong savings, borrowing from friend’s family to start a business. And after 2-3 years when the business starts generating cash flow then they have to pay debt first. ~99% of the business getting disappeared in the first 10 years of establishment.
B and I quadrant person also legally take tax advantages compared to the E and S quadrant person. Most people do not focus on the asset column to generate more income but they focus on income and increase in liabilities. Knowledge is a power which used by B and I quadrant people to grab opportunities when it arises. This also gives them confidence. So, if we are into an E quadrant and simultaneously learn about the I quadrant then it will help us to get financially free, also make us confident. Few people are good with both the side of a quadrant, they get a good paycheck, security as an employee and also invest to create more wealth. People those do not have investment knowledge, then they tend to park money in FD or other deposit which is good compare to people who do not save or invest. But this investment does not help us to fight against inflation. If we rely on our employers that they will make us rich then it’s not to be their responsibility. Their responsibility is to provide a steady paycheck to us. It’s our responsibility to create investment to become rich. When we have an abundance of money and time then we directly jump to the I quadrant. But if we do not have time and money then we have to follow the safer path.
Investing is also an investment into the business so it’s advisable to understand businesses. Investing is capital and knowledge-intensive so we have to ready with both for being successful in it.
The sixth part of the Series “Current temptation, future frustration“. This series is based on the companies which are currently darling of the market and many trying to catch such opportunities but it has a probability to become a reason for future frustration. It can wipe out the majority of gains in wealth. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we can identify ongoing issues in the companies and can save our wealth.
I am starting this article with one of the company which is engaged in power generation has a 52 weeks low price of Rs.5.49 and LTP is Rs.45.25. This company has rewarded ~8.24x of return in a year.
Let’s start looking at the numbers.
We can see that the company does have ~Rs.36 lakh of revenue and generating losses due to higher expenses. It can be possible if the business is at a nascent stage. But major expense is depreciation so have to check why huge depreciation charge.
When we look at the balance sheet then it seems that the company has repaid the entire debt and not issue any share capital. But when looking at the loans and advances then it has higher loans and advances & other assets.
The company has Rs.30 cr of loans and advances in FY20 which keeps raising y-o-y. There is no detailed description available for loans.
When we compare payable and receivable with the revenue then both are much higher than revenue. This means the company has to higher pending payment to pay and receive.
In the above image, we can see that the company has bad debts of Rs.5.76 cr in FY16 which was 35% of total debtors. And the company does not have any revenue in that year.
The company has Rs.35 cr of other payables which has advanced for sale of assets. This indicates that the company has made a commitment to sell assets to other parties and taken advances from that party, but still, the company has not sold out that assets. This item helps the company to improve CFO but actually, this is a clear artificial boosting of CFO.
Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation.
People of different quadrants have fear, doubts, beliefs, strengths, and weaknesses, but all people respond to them differently.
We all have acquired technical skills but we have to learn emotional abilities as well. Also, when we faced difficulties then how we respond to them, will decide our future. When we face difficulties then either we go back to our comfortable quadrant or face it and choose to be free. This ability is much needed to become successful in our life.
Even though we’re all human beings. when it comes to money and the emotions attached to money, we all respond differently. And it’s how we respond to those emotions that often determines from which quadrant we choose to generate our income.
Changing quadrants is often a change at the core of who you are—how you think and how you look at the world. The change is easier for some people than for others simply because some people welcome change and others fight it. And changing quadrants is most often a life-changing experience.
When we belong from the E quadrant then we talk about safety, security, good paycheck, etc. E quadrant people prefer to get a certainty, extra benefits. They have security is more important rather than money.
S talks about their commission on an hourly basis or percentage of the entire project etc. These people prefer to be their boss, like to do their work, like independent rather than money. In many respects, they are true artists with their style and methods of doing things.
B quadrant people talk about hiring new talent, new president etc. for business. They are the opposite of S; they hire people rather than do work themselves. They like to delegate works; they keep thinking to produce better growth. Business requires leadership skills that help us to bring out the best from people.
And I quadrant people talk about the rate of return, risk-adjusted return etc. For the understanding core of the people, we need to be a listener. This helps us to understand the core of people and we can lead them.
People think that they only get financial security by establishing a business. So, for that many starts from Employees to self-employed and then transfer to business. Many from self-employed to business. And many employees to business but not all can achieve success because each quadrant requires a different type of human and mental skills. When S goes for a B then first has to learn to prepare the system and hire competent staff. As he as a system in S quadrant.
When people try to shift from E or S quadrant to the B quadrant then they have such thoughts in the mind. The people who try to shift from E or S to B then they think to have a better product or services compared to XYZ but the B quadrant requires a better system.
I quadrant is the last quadrant where we can able to convert our money to wealth.
For creating wealth, we require Other People’s Time and Other People’s Money. So, E and S quadrant people are other people and B and I use their time & money to creating wealth.
When we compared the cash flow of rich person and middle class than rich have the majority of ~80% income from investment and ~20% as wages. Whereas the middle class have reversed to it, their ~80% of income comes as wages or commission and ~20% from investment. And for becoming wealthy, we need to get passive cash flow from different assets.
The definition of wealth is the number of days you can survive without physically working (or anyone else in your household physically working) and still maintain your standard of living.
When we do not focus on this part then when we have an extra income, we buy liability from it and liabilities will result in the expense. This is a wrong practice. We also make some wrong practice of making an investment which generates income after completion of our working years. We need to focus on making an investment that generates income during our working years and help us to becomes Financially free.
People avoid investment due to risk but there are possibilities to earn a decent return by lowering risk. We have to learn it. Those who want a safe return, avoid taking a risk but rather to avoid taking a risk, we need to learn to manage it. When we able to learn such skills then the “I” quadrant always welcome us.
