08 – ONCE A DARLING, NOW AN EVIL

The eighth part of Series “Once a darling, now an evil”. This series is based on the companies which were once upon a time darling of the market and now, it has wiped out the majority of all those gains. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we have identified ongoing issues in the companies and have saved our wealth.

I am starting this part with one of the company in the business of technology infrastructure management services which has an all-time high price of ~Rs.1221 in 2010 and now last traded price at Rs.0.90.

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On the first instance this company having huge sales and profit growth. This creates a temptation to buy with missing out of the opportunity. But after the series of articles, we know to not get tempted with sales & PAT growth.

So, we go deeper ….

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Controlled debtor days, good fixed assets turnover ratio, high return ratios. Now, no chance to not getting tempted.

I would like to go further detail of it.

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The company continuously having a lower CFO compared to PAT. Also, when we take cumulative CFO V/S cumulative PAT then it was Rs.182 cr of CCFO v/s Rs.422 cr of CPAT. So that company able to generate good profit with good growth but that does not able to convert into the cashflow.

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Now, we check the tax rates then as per Cashflow its lower tax rate compared to the income statement which creates a cautious sign. It may be possible that profit has been artificially boosted.

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If we look at the common size balance sheet then the majority part of the assets side was other assets which have receivables are most but what others? Is this a manufacturing company or a finance company where fixed assets are lower and other assets are higher?

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We can see that changes in reserves are higher than changes in PAT. So again, look it as a suspicious. Because when a company pay a dividend from profit then reserve gets reduce and not pay dividend then remain the same. But here it’s increasing.

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Now if we look at the FY10 and FY09 reserve constitute then ~Rs.10 cr has increased in securities premium which is due to amalgamation, the capital reserve has increased of ~Rs.9 cr, the general reserve has increased of ~Rs.19 cr and P&L account has increased of ~Rs.59 cr. Such kind of difference was there in all of the years, this creates a question that every year company is getting involved in the M&A or issuing new shares? previous annual reports not available.

Don’t just get blinded with growth & few numbers but focus on cash which is real & every possible aspect.

Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation.

This series contains learning from books –Financial ShenanigansQuality of EarningsThe Financial Numbers GameCreative Cash Flow Reporting

3 Thoughts.

  1. Pingback: 08 - SEKALI MENARIK, SEKARANG Jahat - YouTrading Malay

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