07 -ONCE A DARLING, NOW AN EVIL

The seven-part of Series “Once a darling, now an evil”. This series is based on the companies which were once upon a time darling of the market and now, it has wiped out the majority of all those gains. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we have identified ongoing issues in the companies and have saved our wealth.

I am starting this part with one of the company is trading in a broad range of steel products which has an all-time high price of ~Rs.307 in 2011 and now last traded price at Rs.0.36.

KIND01

On the first instance this company having huge sales and profit growth. This creates a temptation to buy with missing out of the opportunity.

Also, when we look at the debtor days then….

KIND02

Reducing… good…

But don’t forget to look cash flow statement….

KIND03

The company continuously having a negative CFO.

Don’t just get blinded with growth but focus on cash which is real.

Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation. 

06 – ONCE A DARLING, NOW AN EVIL

The sixth part of Series “Once a darling, now an evil”. This series is based on the companies which were once upon a time darling of the market and now, it has wiped out the majority of all those gains. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we have identified ongoing issues in the companies and have saved our wealth.

I am starting this part with one of shipbuilding and ship repair company which has an all-time high price of ~Rs.992 in 2008 and now last traded price at Rs.1.20.

ABGS 01

On the first instance this company having huge sales and profit growth. This creates a temptation to buy with missing out of the opportunity.

Also, when we look at the terms of trade (i.e. debtors to creditor ratio)

ABGS 02

Wonderful… should buy it immediately….

But when we go for deepen….

ABGS 02.1

Payable is growing rapidly and it was higher than total expenses. This creates a sense of cautions that which vendor allow to keep this long credit? Also, if the company is capable to pay then why the company is not paying dues?

ABGS 03

When we look at the Inventories, then inventory as a % of sales is higher than the sales. Means company has a good inventory pile up. Also, inventory days are above a year.

ABGS 04

Now, when we look at the common size balance sheet of the company than almost 89% of the balance sheet was in other assets in FY06. It makes me curious that whether it is a manufacturing company or an NBFC. If we go for a breakup of those other assets then the majority of the part was in inventories and remaining? The remaining part was in loans and advances. I don’t have an old annual report but when looking for the FY10 annual report then such things get cleared. That was almost 25% of balance sheet and ~40%+ of other assets in FY10.

ABGS 05ABGS 06

The company also has understated its depreciation. If we compare the depreciation rate with the peer companies then peer company has an almost double rate then the company.

ABGS 07

If we look at the taxation as per the Cash flow tax rate then it is substantially lower this creates a doubt that why to pay less tax than actual payment. There can be possible to have an artificially boosted profitability in the P&L account.

Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation. 

05 – ONCE A DARLING, NOW AN EVIL

The fifth part of Series “Once a darling, now an evil”. This series is based on the companies which were once upon a time darling of the market and now, it has wiped out the majority of all those gains. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we have identified ongoing issues in the companies and have saved our wealth.

I am starting this part with one of the manufacturing, processing & trading of yarns, fabrics, ready-made garments and towels company which has an all-time high price of ~Rs.582 in 2008 and now last traded price at Rs.0.35.

SEL01

On the first instance this company having huge sales and profit growth. This creates the temptation to buy with missing out of the opportunity.

But when we go for deepen….

SEL02SEL04SEL03

Now, let’s look at the above data then though the company has good growth in sales and profit but not able to generate CFO. This will require to bring external funding in terms of equity and borrowing, and both have increased rapidly. Look at the receivable and inventory as a % of sales than 73%, 69%, 70% in FY08,09,10 respectively. Also, if we look at the debtor days and inventory days both are increasing rapidly.

SEL05

If we look at the taxation then as per the Cash flow tax rate then it is substantially lower this creates a doubt that why to pay less tax than actual payment.

Also, when we look at the investment than the majority of the investment made in subsidiaries.

Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation. 

04 – ONCE A DARLING, NOW AN EVIL

The fourth part of Series “Once a darling, now an evil”. This series is based on the companies which were once upon a time darling of the market and now, it has wiped out the majority of all those gains. I am trying to put some of the number-crunching facts by which we have identified ongoing issues in the companies and have saved our wealth.

I am starting this part with one of the network service company which has an all-time high price of ~Rs.3500 and now last traded price at Rs.1.25. and high of Rs.464 in the year 2010.

GTLL01

On the first instance, this company looks having not a huge problem except debt rising but for understanding it in a better way, we need to go deeper.

GTLL02

If we look at the tax paid in cash flow then that tax outflow is higher than what the company has posted in P&L statement. If we look at the actual PAT and reported PAT then both have a good diversion. This shows that the company has boosted PAT by ~40%+ on an average basis.

GTLL03

Now, if we look at the sales to the related party then that was ~44% and 43% in the FY08 & FY09 respectively. In FY09, ~44% payable was from the related party out of total payables. Company has made ~80%+ investment in its subsidiaries out of investment shown on the balance sheet. In addition, the company has 25+ subsidiaries and few were at Mauritius.

Also, during when the price was traded near too high in the year 2010, the promoter has started putting their stake in a pledge.

Disclosure – Companies mentioned in the article are just for an example & educational purpose. It is not a buy/sell/ hold recommendation. 

This series contains learning from books –Financial ShenanigansQuality of EarningsThe Financial Numbers GameCreative Cash Flow Reporting